A New Climate for Peace

Taking Action on Climate and Fragility Risks

This independent report, commissioned by the G7 members, identifies seven compound climate-fragility risks that pose serious threats to the stability of states and societies in the decades ahead. Based on a thorough assessment of existing policies on climate change adaptation, development cooperation and humanitarian aid, and peacebuilding, the report recommends that the G7 take concrete action, both as individual members and jointly, to tackle climate-fragility risks and increase resilience to them.


Resilience Compass

When climate change exacerbates conflicts and crises, resilience must be the compass for foreign policy. The Resilience Compass features news, reflections and opinions on climate change and fragility, with contributions from the Wilson Center’s New Security Beat, International Alert and guest authors.


Factbook, Readings, Events

This collection of resources complements and extends the analysis of the report. It contains an interactive factbook allowing users to explore case studies from around the world and provides background readings and contextualized report and event summaries.

Thematic Reading


A New Climate for Peace

Case Study


Climate change and pastoralist conflicts

Pastoralism—the practice of raising livestock on communal lands—has long been an effective livelihood strategy in arid regions. Today, however, pastoralists in the Sahel and East Africa are increasingly limited by their growing populations, government policies favouring other sectors (e.g., intensive agriculture, tourism, and environmental protection), environmental degradation, and direct competition with other groups for resources. As their requirements for land and water increase, the increasing variability of rainfall can feed into existing conflict dynamics and increase the potential for violent conflicts.

In Darfur, the increasing scarcity of productive land and reliable water has become a major conflict driver for a population already stricken by underdevelopment, poor governance, political marginalization, entrenched ethnic conflict, and a shortage of economic and human capital. The vast and sparsely populated Darfur region has low and variable rainfall, which has required groups to develop traditional rules for herder routes, rights to water sources, and dispute resolution systems. But in recent decades, the traditional systems that upheld these rules have been disrupted by three factors:

  • Since 1972, the region has experienced 16 of the 20 driest years ever recorded.
  • Darfur’s population grew from just over 1 million in the mid-1950s to about 6.5 million in the early 2000s.
  • New boundaries of tribal homelands and modified relations between tribal and national leadership (notably in 1971 and 1986) weakened traditional governance.

UNEP lists more than 30 conflicts in Darfur since 1975 in which environmental issues and livelihoods have been a factor.

When civil war broke out in 2003, with the rebel groups (SPLA and JEM) arrayed against the government and its Janjaweed militias, tensions rose across the vast and diverse region. Armed groups had no difficulty recruiting young men from the desperate and often dislocated populations. A long history of ethnic conflict in the region made for ready cleavages—reports of ethnic cleansing were common, wells were poisoned, and farmers intentionally burned grasslands and destroyed water points to deter pastoralists from grazing. Internally displaced people were vulnerable to attacks and gender-based violence.

The competition over scarce resources was an added stress factor in the conflicts in Darfur. Conflicts over specific resources were also key flashpoints in the larger conflict.

Case Study - Darfur


Bromwich, Brendan 2008: Environmental degradation and conflict in Darfur: implications for peace and recovery. In: Humanitarian Exchange Magazine 39:1, pp 22–29.

Bromwich, Brendan; Abuelgasim Abdalla Adam; Abduljabbar Abdulla Fadul; Florence Chege; Jim Sweet; Victor Tanner and Geoff Wright 2007: Darfur: relief in a vulnerable environment. Teddington: Tearfund.

Human Rights Watch 2005: Sexual violence and its consequences among displaced persons in Darfur and Chad. A Human Rights Watch Briefing Paper. Retrieved 08 Apr 2015, from

Kirkbride, Mary and Richard Grahn 2008: Survival of the fittest: pastoralism and climate change in East Africa (Oxfam Briefing Paper, 116). Oxford: Oxfam International.

Mundt, Alexander 2011: Addressing the legacy of conflict in Darfur: Shifting land tenure patterns and humanitarian action. Retrieved 16 Mar 2015, from

Royo Aspa, Josep-Maria 2011: The economic relationship of armed groups with displaced populations. In: Forced Migration Review 37:1, pp 17–18.

Rüttinger, Lukas; Antoine Morin; Annabelle Houdret; Dennis Tänzler and Clementine Burnley 2011a: Water, crisis and climate change assessment framework. Berlin: adelphi.

Rüttinger, Lukas; Dennis Tänzler; Paddy Musana; Narcisio and Bangirana 2011b: Water crisis and climate change in Uganda: a policy brief. Retrieved 10 Dec 2014, from

Takana, Yousif 2008: The politics of local boundaries and conflict in Sudan: the South Darfur case (Sudan Working Paper, 2). Bergen: Chr. Michelsen Institute.

UNDP 2011: Disaster-conflict interface - comparative experiences. New York: UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery.

UNEP 2007: Sudan: post-conflict environmental assessment. Nairobi: United Nations Environment Program (UNEP).