REPORT

A New Climate for Peace

Taking Action on Climate and Fragility Risks

This independent report, commissioned by the G7 members, identifies seven compound climate-fragility risks that pose serious threats to the stability of states and societies in the decades ahead. Based on a thorough assessment of existing policies on climate change adaptation, development cooperation and humanitarian aid, and peacebuilding, the report recommends that the G7 take concrete action, both as individual members and jointly, to tackle climate-fragility risks and increase resilience to them.

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Resilience Compass

When climate change exacerbates conflicts and crises, resilience must be the compass for foreign policy. The Resilience Compass features news, reflections and opinions on climate change and fragility, with contributions from the Wilson Center’s New Security Beat, International Alert and guest authors.

RESOURCES

Factbook, Readings, Events

This collection of resources complements and extends the analysis of the report. It contains an interactive factbook allowing users to explore case studies from around the world and provides background readings and contextualized report and event summaries.

Thematic Reading

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New Security Beat climate change conflict extreme weather featured Guest Contributor migration security

Overlooked and Misunderstood: Stories About Climate, Conflict, and Migration

11 October, 2017 by Bethany N. Bella
Drought-Ethiopia

Barbuda—an island once full of people—has been rendered completely uninhabitable by Hurricane Irma. Every single resident was evacuated from the island, and some are not planning to return. Climate-induced migration and displacement is not usually this dramatic, but it is not uncommon: Since 2008, UNHCR estimates that an average 21.5 million people each year have been forcibly displaced by weather-related natural disasters, like floods, storms, and wildfires.

Yet despite the magnitude of the problem, it is largely ignored in mainstream media coverage.  Pioneering journalists at the upcoming Society of Environmental Journalists’ conference in Pittsburgh will share their experiences covering this overlooked crisis, along with an expert who can shed light on common misunderstandings about the complex relationship between climate, migration, and conflict.

There Are No “Climate Refugees”

There is an important distinction between displaced people and refugees

Climate change and its effects help fuel weather-related disasters, pushing people out of their homes—displacing them internally—or even across borders. These weather-related displacements contribute to our enormous, ongoing migration crisis: A staggering 65.6 million people worldwide are considered to be forcibly displaced, according to UNHCR, while 22.5 million people are recognized by the United Nations as having “refugee” status. But there is an important distinction between displaced people and refugees that is critical for all of us—including journalists—to understand.

Dubbing people who move for climate-related reasons “climate refugees” is tempting, but it is politically problematic and potentially unhelpful. “In order to achieve refugee status,” ECSP Senior Advisor Geoffrey Dabelko writes in New Security Beat, “people must be fleeing persecution or violence and must cross a national border. Countries are then obligated by international law to admit them, provide shelter, and so forth. The definition of ‘refugee’ is based on political boundaries and has nothing to offer internally displaced persons. It also does nothing for people who are ‘pulled’ for economic reasons or ‘pushed’ for environmental reasons.”

As the number of displaced people reaches unprecedented levels, heightened nationalist politics in Western countries has stymied the flow of resources and resettlement options. The Trump administration’s travel ban seeks to severely restrict the number of immigrants permitted into the United States, including internationally recognized refugees. Anti-immigrant sentiments helped a far-right party to gain seats in the German Parliament for the first time in 50 years, as the number of refugees streaming into Europe since 2015 have tested the continent’s tolerance.

Will Climate-Related Migration Lead to Conflict?

“There is relatively broad consensus that climate change will lead to more migration,” said Schuyler Null at the launch of a Wilson Center report for USAID’s Office of Conflict Management and Mitigation in 2016. “There is also relatively broad consensus that climate change should be considered a threat multiplier for conflict…not that it will necessarily create new conflicts out of thin air, but it will exacerbate existing tensions.

“There are still a lot of questions, however, on how, where, and to what degree these relationships play out,” he said.

“There are still a lot of questions, however, on how, where, and to what degree these relationships play out” 

Migration has long been one method for adapting to environmental change and the economic and political hardships it causes. The many and complex drivers that push (or pull) people to migrate or cause them to engage in conflict do not lend themselves to easy answers. Journalists telling these stories and practitioners addressing these migration flows need to embrace and explore these complicated dynamics—which can be hard to do with the tight timeframes and decreasing budgets that plague both fields.

Media on the Move

In Pittsburgh, Dabelko will join Hannah Fairfield, the climate editor for The New York Times and Beth Murphy, a producer and filmmaker for The GroundTruth Project, for a discussion moderated by Ian James, the water and environment reporter for The Desert Sun.

Fairfield has ramped up climate change coverage for The New York Times since her tenure began in January 2017, overseeing stories on Mexico City’s fresh water crisis and rising sea levels in the southeast United States. As visual editor, she worked on the New York Times’ dynamic and ground-breaking series on climate migration, “Carbon’s Casualties,” including stories on China’s expanding deserts; a small Alaskan village considering moving to higher ground; and young men displaced by drought in an increasingly volatile West Africa.

The GroundTruth Project’s series, “Living Proof: The Human Toll of Climate Change” has uncovered new stories at the nexus of climate, conflict, and migration issues, particularly where it intersects with international humanitarian issues, such as climate-conflict links in Somalia; sex trafficking in the Philippines; and educating girls to cope with drought in Afghanistan.

For James, the issues of climate change and water scarcity have been central to his environment coverage at The Desert Sun, which is based in Palm Springs. James was a lead reporter in the 2014 APME award-winning series “Scorched Earth” and has written numerous stories on California’s multi-year drought. Most recently his coverage has focused on the politics surrounding California’s Salton Sea. For USA Today, James’ multimedia series “Pumped Dry” ranged as far as India, Peru, and Morocco.