REPORT

A New Climate for Peace

Taking Action on Climate and Fragility Risks

This independent report, commissioned by the G7 members, identifies seven compound climate-fragility risks that pose serious threats to the stability of states and societies in the decades ahead. Based on a thorough assessment of existing policies on climate change adaptation, development cooperation and humanitarian aid, and peacebuilding, the report recommends that the G7 take concrete action, both as individual members and jointly, to tackle climate-fragility risks and increase resilience to them.

BLOG

Resilience Compass

When climate change exacerbates conflicts and crises, resilience must be the compass for foreign policy. The Resilience Compass features news, reflections and opinions on climate change and fragility, with contributions from the Wilson Center’s New Security Beat, International Alert and guest authors.

RESOURCES

Factbook, Readings, Events

This collection of resources complements and extends the analysis of the report. It contains an interactive factbook allowing users to explore case studies from around the world and provides background readings and contextualized report and event summaries.

Thematic Reading

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G7 Germany
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Adelphi
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International Alert
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The Wilson Center
Adelphi sub-saharan africa cimate change water land & food security gender environment & migration conflict transformation development early warning & risk analysis

Lake Chad Crisis - Knowledge Hub

02 January, 2018 by Raquel Munayer and Stella Schaller (adelphi)

Lake Chad - the Role of Climate Security
Background:
The Lake Chad crisis is becoming one of the worst humanitarian disasters since World War II, and climate change is considered one of the drivers. In the four countries that surround Lake Chad (Cameroon, Chad, Niger, and Nigeria), about 17 million people are affected by the emergency, struggling with food insecurity, widespread violence, involuntary displacement, and the consequences of environmental degradation. An estimated 800,000 children suffer from acute malnutrition; and although international donors pledged $672 million in February, the famine and humanitarian misery continues unabated. Suicide bombings and attacks by Boko Haram have forced many people to leave their homes and farmers to leave their lands, interrupting livelihoods and reducing food supplies.

Latest updates

  • 12 December 2017, 350 experts on climate and security launch The Hague Declaration, which contains six recommendations, including one on supporting the integrated risk assessment on Lake Chad.
  • 12-13 December 2017, at the Planetary Security Conference 2017 local policy-makers and experts, civil society and the international community exchanged views and lessons learned on climate-fragility risks and existing activities in the Lake Chad region.
  • 26-27 October 2017, the G7 Working Group on Climate Change and Fragility met in Rome where its members were briefed on the climate-fragility risks in the Lake Chad region.
  • On 12 October 2017, in an address to the Security Council, the UN Secretary General pointed out that 8.5 million people are in need of humanitarian assistance in the Lake Chad region and called for the development of a regional strategy to fight the root causes of the crisis.
  • 13 September 2017, a report by the UN Secretary General was presented to the Security Council emphasising the urgency of the situation and the importance of addressing the root causes of the crisis.
  • On 6 September 2017, The Oslo Consultative Group on the Prevention and Stabilization in the Lake Chad region met for the first time in Berlin.
  • On 30 August 2017, the UN Secretary General presented a report to the UN Security Council, stressing the challenges arising from Boko Haram’s terrorist activities in the Lake Chad Basin region.
  • 5 May 2017, during a multistakeholder workshop in Stockholm different international and local organisations and experts discussed the situation in the Lake Chad region and ways to address the crisis.
  • 29 April 2017, adelphi published the report Insurgency, Terrorism and Organised Crime in a Warming Climate with a case study on Lake Chad, pointing out the vicious cycle of violence, conflict and fragility which is exacerbated by the impacts of climate change in the region.
  • 31 March 2017, the UNSC resolution on security on Lake Chad recognised that climate change impacts on the fragile security situation in the region and called upon the UN and governments to conduct adequate risk assessments and develop management strategies.
  • On 24 February 2017, Germany, Nigeria, Norway and the United Nations co-hosted the Oslo Humanitarian Conference on Nigeria and the Lake Chad Region. 14 donors pledged $672 million for relief aid. The conference put a particular focus on the needs of women, children and youth as well as longer-term support for the crisis-affected population.
 

Resources

  • We must not get stuck in policy circles – How to handle climate change and conflict at Lake Chad - The Lake Chad region experiences a multitude of crises: lack of employment and education opportunities, resource scarcity and violent conflict, all exacerbated by the effects of climate change, making the Lake Chad region Africa’s largest humanitarian emergency. At the margins of the Planetary Security Conference 2017, we spoke with the independent conflict adviser Chitra Nagarajan about the region’s future.
  • VIDEO (10 min): Lake Chad – Tackling Climate-Fragility Risks - The world’s most extensive humanitarian crisis since 1945 is currently playing out in the four countries that surround Lake Chad: Cameroon, Chad, Niger, and Nigeria. Multiple stressors converge in the region. Unemployment, violent insurgencies, poverty and depleting resources interact with climate change and create a perfect storm of climate-fragility risks. The international community must act, in order to secure lives and livelihoods.

 

  • NEWS: G7 Working Group Meeting on Climate and Fragility in Rome - What will come next for G7 action on climate and fragility? From 25-27 October 2017, G7 representatives gathered in Rome to discuss pathways to manage the climate-fragility nexus, and exchange views on climate-related issues such as food security, involuntary migration and land resources. adelphi convened a targeted workshop on the design of the new G7 risk assessment on Lake Chad and steps to respond to the crisis in the region.
  • REPORT: UN Secretary General's Report on Lake Chad Crisis - On 13 September, Under-Secretary-General for Political Affairs Jeffrey Feltman briefed the Security Council on the Secretary-General’s 7 September report on the situation in Lake Chad Basin region (S/2017/764). The Council requested the report in resolution 2349, which it adopted on 31 March following its visiting mission to the Lake Chad Basin in early March.
  • VIDEO: UN Security Council mission to Lake Chad 2017 - Interview with Carl Skau - In April 2017, the UN Security Council sent a mission to the Lake Chad region, where the largest humanitarian crisis is currently playing out. Carl Skau, Ambassador and UN Security Council Coordinator from Sweden, went on that mission and tells us what he saw in Nigeria and Chad, and what struck him most. It is imperative to now follow-up on that visit, and firmly establish climate security risks in the Council's work.

 

  • CASE STUDY: Lake Chad - Interstate Conflicts and Cooperation - Between 1963 and the present day, the surface of Lake Chad has shrunk by 50%. In the context of increasing environmental change, long-term stability requires the cooperation of the co-riparians to elaborate sustainable strategies to manage the basin region.

 

  • VIDEO: Climate Change, Marginalization, Terrorism - What to do about Lake Chad? – Interview with Dan Smith - What are solutions, or approaches, to climate change and fragility in the Lake Chad region? How to tackle compound problems such as climate change, migration and terrorism? Dan Smith, Director of SIPRI, explains why the Lake Chad Basin is one of the greatest trouble spots of our time, and what measures need to be taken. The most important is governance, followed by actual security measures, and management of scarce water resources.

 

  • INTERVIEW: Lake Chad – The most complex humanitarian crisis of our time? - The world’s most extensive humanitarian crisis is currently playing out in the Lake Chad region, with some 17 million people affected, and 7 million suffering food insecurity. We spoke with Ambassador Hinrich Thölken, Permanent Representative of Germany to FAO, WFP and IFAD, who travelled to both Nigeria and Chad to gain a better understanding of the different compound pressures.
  • NEWS: Climate-fragility risks in Lake Chad on the agenda at Stockholm Forum on Security and Development - adelphi, along with partners SIPRI and SEI, are organizing a side event at the forthcoming Stockholm Forum of Security and Development from 3-4 May on “Climate-fragility risks in the Lake Chad region – scope for conflict prevention and resilience building”. The event will bring together experts from the region along with representatives of donor and development cooperation organizations to discuss how to better link peacebuilding with climate change adaptation to build resilience against climate-fragility risks.
  • BLOG: Capturing double exposures in Lake Chad - In an article recently published in Regional Environmental Change, Uche Okpara, Lindsay Stringer, and Andrews Dougill discuss the development and application of a climate-water conflict vulnerability index to assess communities along the southeastern shores of Lake Chad in the Republic of Congo.

 

Further resources