REPORT

A New Climate for Peace

Taking Action on Climate and Fragility Risks

This independent report, commissioned by the G7 members, identifies seven compound climate-fragility risks that pose serious threats to the stability of states and societies in the decades ahead. Based on a thorough assessment of existing policies on climate change adaptation, development cooperation and humanitarian aid, and peacebuilding, the report recommends that the G7 take concrete action, both as individual members and jointly, to tackle climate-fragility risks and increase resilience to them.

BLOG

Resilience Compass

When climate change exacerbates conflicts and crises, resilience must be the compass for foreign policy. The Resilience Compass features news, reflections and opinions on climate change and fragility, with contributions from the Wilson Center’s New Security Beat, International Alert and guest authors.

RESOURCES

Factbook, Readings, Events

This collection of resources complements and extends the analysis of the report. It contains an interactive factbook allowing users to explore case studies from around the world and provides background readings and contextualized report and event summaries.

Thematic Reading

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G7 Germany
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Adelphi
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International Alert
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The Wilson Center
New Security Beat adaptation Africa Asia climate change conflict cooperation democracy development disaster relief environment

Risk, But Also Opportunity in Climate Fragility and Terror Link

18 May, 2017 by Florian Krampe
Mali2

In a recent article for New Security Beat, Colin Walch made the case that the abandonment of some communities in Mali to deal with climate change on their own has created “fertile ground” for jihadist recruitment.

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Integrating climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction

16 May, 2017 by Walid Ali (UNDP)

As the Global Platform on Disaster Risk Reduction soon gets underway, the world is witnessing the highest levels of famine risk in decades. While war and conflict stand as a major root cause of the crisis in the Middle East and Africa, climate change is a key “enhancer” of the humanitarian crisis unfolding before our eyes. 

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Food Access and the Logic of Violence During Civil War

17 May, 2017 by Ore Koren
Afghan-fields

In 1981, Nobel Laureate Amartya Sen noted that “starvation is the characteristic of some people not having enough food to eat.

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What quantitative analyses tell us about climate change and conflict

15 May, 2017 by Adrien Detges

Bullet

A growing number of studies are being published that analyse the statistical relationship between climate change and violent conflict, but the implications for policy makers often remain unclear. In this blog article, Adrien Detges points out what quantitative analyses can tell us about climate change and conflict and highlights their limitations.

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Stockholm conclusions on climate-fragility risks around Lake Chad

15 May, 2017 by Stella Schaller and Janani Vivekananda

Stockholm Forum Lake Chad
Workshop on climate-fragility risks around Lake Chad - Stockholm Forum on Peace and Development 2017. Photo credits: Benedikt Schulte.

At the 2017 Stockholm Forum on Peace and Development from 3 - 4 May, adelphi, in partnership with SIPRI and SEI, convened two sessions on climate change and fragility risks in the Lake Chad region, to discuss the different approaches and next steps for building resilience.

 

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The Challenge of Fragile Cities – Takeaways from the Resilient Cities Congress

12 May, 2017 by Janani Vivekananda

On 4-5th May, adelphi was at the Resilient Cities Congress 2017 in Bonn to speak on a panel on ‘Violence and Climate Change in Cities’. The session was a unique and much required discussion on the interactions between climate change and conflict in urban settings.

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Fertile Ground: Climate Change and Jihadism in Mali

09 May, 2017 by Colin Walch
Mali

The epicenter of violence in the unstable country of Mali has historically been in the north, a contested region from where Touareg separatist and jihadist armed groups launched an insurgency against the state in 2012. But over the last two years, there has been a marked shift in communal and anti-state violence to the central region, and climate change may have played a role.

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Conflict Deepens Hunger Crises in South Sudan, Somalia, Nigeria and Yemen

28 April, 2017 by Lauren Anderson (IISD)

Lake Chad crisis

FAO warns that without urgent intervention, 20 million people will starve to death over the next six months in South Sudan, Somalia, north-eastern Nigeria and Yemen. UNICEF reports that 22 million children across these countries “are hungry, sick, displaced and out of school,” mainly because of conflict. Climate change and water insecurity are major challenges to ending hunger and achieving sustainable agriculture, outside of conflict, a primary driver.

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Water and the Rise of Insurgencies in the “Arc of Instability”

24 April, 2017 by Azua Zizhan Luo

Displaced-family

Water scarcity has contributed to an “arc of instability” characterized by conflict and displacement that stretches from West Africa to the Middle East. Two authors from an upcoming compilation of case studies on water security and violent conflict by WWF highlight challenges in Nigeria and Iran and recommendations for U.S. engagement.

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Humanitarian interventions need to incorporate climate and conflict

21 April, 2017 by Janani Vivekananda

Water in Bidi Bidi refugee camp Northern Uganda

As more and more development and humanitarian programs contend with climate-related problems, there are important lessons learned from past experience that should not be forgotten, says Janani Vivekananda in this week’s episode of the “Backdraft” podcast.

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Insurgency, Terrorism and Organised Crime in a Warming Climate - A Summary

20 April, 2017 by Lukas Rüttinger

Changing climate - Kurdish PKK Guerillas

As the climate changes, so too do the conditions in which non-state armed groups operate. The complex risks presented by conflicts, climate change and increasingly fragile geophysical and socio-political conditions can contribute to the emergence and growth of non-state armed groups. Our new report examines the links between climate-fragility risks and non-state armed groups.

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